Saturday, November 14, 2009

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 18 versus the Leafs

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20268

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
CGY119:35 4615172234414155055815v5
CGY118:3912 goal3111221283479222350845v5
CGY118:2423 goal3162325283449152350845v5
TOR117:01 4612232434714222350815v5
TOR114:3622 goal56112434 915225055844v5
CGY110:0616 goal31623252834714222350815v5
TOR18:38 461112213429353655845v5
TOR16:28 4616232534214233536815v5
TOR14:02 31517222834212353639415v5
TOR13:07 4616232534714222335815v5
TOR219:15 3111221283429353655845v5
CGY218:10 5716232534212353639415v5
TOR217:03 417222834 1415233536814v5
TOR216:51 417222834 1415233536814v5
TOR215:37 56162334 1415222335814v5
TOR215:22 56162334 1415222335814v5
TOR215:19 56162334 1415222335814v5
TOR212:23 31024283334714222335815v5
TOR211:40 4616232534714222335815v5
TOR210:59 571112213429353655845v5
CGY210:18 351215213429353655845v5
CGY28:23 5723242534221283536515v5
CGY27:53 5711122134215212835515v5
CGY27:34 341215173449223539 5v4
TOR26:49 3412172134212143536 5v4
TOR23:40 416232834 915223555844v5
TOR23:25 4162324283479223555845v5
TOR22:05 461623253447142335815v5
CGY317:3012 goal71224283334412223539415v5
CGY317:02 31517222834214233536815v5
TOR316:32 461112213479223555845v5
TOR312:00 461112213479223555845v5
CGY310:22 4615172234412153539415v5
CGY38:01 461623253427142335815v5
CGY36:304 goal34121517341215223536395v5
CGY35:05 5712213334714222335815v5


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF19:48631:15110:1600
4J. BOUWMEESTER17:12491:15116:0903
5M. GIORDANO13:29510:41003:1804
6C. SARICH16:28380:00003:1804
7A. PARDY14:25510:04000:1600
10B. MCGRATTAN3:16010:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM9:11250:00001:2701
12J. IGINLA18:19661:15110:0000
15N. DAWES16:00510:57100:0000
16D. BOYD10:58450:00004:3404
17R. BOURQUE14:39411:15113:4902
21O. JOKINEN14:59451:03010:0000
22D. LANGKOW14:50310:45002:5502
23E. NYSTROM13:40560:00005:1004
24C. CONROY8:19230:04001:2701
25D. MOSS13:03540:41000:0000
28R. REGEHR15:12540:45006:0903
33B. PRUST7:37210:00000:0400
34M. KIPRUSOFF48:1714132:00119:4307


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1464500000100
25134611000600
3626200000000
4000000000000
Totals1521141311000700


TOR dominated the game in the second period, doing a lot of damage on the PP. Flames hung in and managed to outchance TOR in the third period, but the time frame between Boyd's goal and Jarome's second was a total disaster. Kipper kept the club in it and is really looking something like his old self.
Read more!

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 17 versus the Sabres

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20265

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
CGY118:5722 goal46151722341921263034525v5
BUF117:03 31517222834910293041575v5
BUF116:47 31517222834910293041575v5
BUF116:45 31517222834910293041575v5
CGY115:35 4716232534413303644555v5
BUF113:41 31112212834910293041575v5
BUF112:54 3415172234419212630445v5
BUF112:38 4615172234413303644555v5
BUF112:36 4615172234413303644555v5
BUF110:48 57102324341013303655575v5
BUF17:12 45161734 1926305257 4v4
CGY16:03 61221242834413303644555v5
BUF13:09 417242834 926304152574v5
BUF13:079 goal417242834 926304152574v5
CGY10:13 4615172234929303441525v5
BUF10:03 4615172234929303441525v5
CGY214:47 3412152234929303452 5v4
CGY214:39 3412152234929303452 5v4
CGY211:52 34122125341928303452 5v4
CGY211:26 341217213449102930 5v4
CGY210:35 3512172234410193055575v5
CGY29:07 5711243334422283037445v5
CGY28:11 4615172234910293041575v5
BUF27:53 4615172234910293041575v5
CGY26:51 416242834 926304152574v5
CGY25:40 56172234 1921262930344v5
CGY22:29 4615172234419212630445v5
CGY312:03 515172228341019305557 5v4
BUF39:28 312212834 1019305557 4v4
CGY38:24 517222834 929303452 4v4
CGY37:58 34122134 1019263057 4v4
BUF33:33 31221242834910293041575v5
BUF33:32 31221242834910293041575v5
BUF44:55 312212834 910293057 4v4
CGY41:21 452434 919262930 3v4
BUF40:39 4242834 2128305257 3v4
BUF40:06 56212234 49101930 4v4


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF16:39295:28400:0000
4J. BOUWMEESTER18:03664:55404:2223
5M. GIORDANO16:39333:16101:3820
6C. SARICH15:31550:01001:5610
7A. PARDY15:44210:00000:0000
10B. MCGRATTAN2:54010:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM11:47110:15000:4600
12J. IGINLA16:58355:28400:0000
15N. DAWES15:28483:00300:0000
16D. BOYD12:30110:12001:5010
17R. BOURQUE16:21693:41201:4112
21O. JOKINEN16:50264:24200:0000
22D. LANGKOW15:58693:21301:4910
23E. NYSTROM13:10110:00001:1000
24C. CONROY10:19230:03003:2023
25D. MOSS8:34103:33100:0000
28R. REGEHR19:12282:20104:4013
33B. PRUST3:53100:03000:0000
34M. KIPRUSOFF50:4210168:00506:1833


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
141241000000200
21014140002000
3332310000000
4130200001100
Totals1819101650003300


Unsurprisingly of a 1-1 hockey game, the chances ended up fairly even. The Sabres did most of their damage at ES in the first period, while Calgary reeled things back in in the second with 3 straight PP's (and one good PK).

Buffalo's ES numbers were pumped up by a number of goal mouth scrambles in period one, which are "scoring chance gold" for obvious reasons. The Flames, on the other hand were more one-at-a-time when it came to opportunities.
Read more!

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

A Note on Scoring Chances

For anyone who wants to engage in some scoring chance counting themselves, Vic of IOF has created this nifty app which makes things about 1000X times easier. Plop in the team you're following, the game number of the contest in question (which can be found at the end of each nhl.com's game summary) and then just note the the time the evnet occured and for which team. Voila! The script then spits out the handy tables you see published here after every game.

Before starting, I would suggest defining (rather rigidly) what you're going to count as a chance or not. It seems like a fairly easy exercise at first, but there are actually a lot of ambiguous plays in a game that can that can be swung one way or the other by a number of factors: the urgency of the announcers voice, time of game, angle of the camera, your allegiance, etc.

Any other questions, don't hesitate to ask.
Read more!

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 16 versus MTL

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20243

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
CGY117:32 34122425341415202641 5v4
CGY113:42 5710243334641475384945v5
CGY113:32 31517222834613144041445v5
MTL16:53 45162334 1314152241474v5
CGY15:0512 goal36121721341314222640415v5
MTL14:30 56162533342040414784945v5
MTL14:13 56162533342040414784945v5
CGY13:47 34122124341415222641 5v4
MTL10:03 35111634 613214144914v5
MTL219:20 4617222834613214144915v5
CGY214:28 51517222834615414494 5v4
CGY213:26 311162328342021414647915v5
MTL212:24 312212834 613144144 4v4
MTL211:57 46122134 621414491 4v4
MTL211:36 46121734 2122414791 4v4
CGY29:10 34122124341426324144 5v4
CGY29:08 34122124341426324144 5v4
CGY27:08 515161728341521222641445v5
MTL316:18 712152228342122264146915v5
MTL315:56 5615172234613144041445v5
CGY312:24 315172228341314222640415v5
CGY311:15 34122125342122414491 5v4
CGY310:55 51517222834615204194 5v4
CGY39:16 3415172234621414446915v5
MTL35:50 423242834 613214144914v5
CGY32:12 415172228341321222641915v5


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF16:41517:13500:2701
4J. BOUWMEESTER15:00237:43502:5902
5M. GIORDANO9:38234:18202:0002
6C. SARICH14:49160:44003:1100
7A. PARDY10:16110:36000:0000
10B. MCGRATTAN4:59100:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM9:30100:00001:4801
12J. IGINLA13:42147:03500:0400
15N. DAWES10:53525:48200:2000
16D. BOYD12:42220:47001:5102
17R. BOURQUE12:01635:03201:5700
21O. JOKINEN12:08126:41400:0000
22D. LANGKOW11:41433:52202:3700
23E. NYSTROM10:14100:00001:5102
24C. CONROY8:03103:17401:2801
25D. MOSS10:17023:29200:0400
28R. REGEHR18:20533:26203:2301
33B. PRUST7:06120:00000:0000
34M. KIPRUSOFF42:008812:00706:0003


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1543220000200
2542430000000
3533220000100
4000000000000
Totals15118870000300


Pretty low event game, thus the 1-0 score. MTL had maybe one or two 10 bell chances, a couple of close bounces, but not much else. This is also one of those games where the scoring chance and corsi seemed to align (right, Cory Sarich?).
Read more!

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 15 versus the Rangers

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20235

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
NYR117:39 4610232434612214042975v5
NYR117:12 4610232434610172040975v5
NYR117:10 4610232434610172040975v5
CGY116:0522 goal5715172234416243340425v5
CGY114:24 4616202534636404281975v5
CGY16:51 31517222834410172033405v5
NYR12:445 goal31221242834510182040425v5
CGY216:42 4615172134433364042815v5
CGY214:51 34122125345182440 5v3
CGY214:49 34122125345182440 5v3
NYR25:43 5712202134516182236405v5
CGY23:1312 goal3512152134610244097 5v4
NYR21:47 31720222834610204081975v5
NYR21:13 32022252834518212224405v5
NYR20:48 46161734 410122024404v5
NYR20:16 46232434 410122024404v5
NYR319:39 417242834 410122024404v5
NYR319:08 41622232834410122024405v5
NYR317:11 56161734 410122024404v5
CGY312:59 3202324283445101620405v5
NYR310:43 31517222834610204081975v5
NYR37:11 5712212534512182140425v5
NYR35:22 31517222834410203340815v5
CGY34:30 4612212534412213340425v5
CGY33:2617 goal31517222834510182040815v5
NYR30:26 31112212834410162433425v5


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF20:56362:01100:0000
4J. BOUWMEESTER18:03341:32004:5203
5M. GIORDANO12:35121:50101:1301
6C. SARICH16:50330:03002:3303
7A. PARDY12:46120:00000:0000
10B. MCGRATTAN1:34030:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM9:41010:00001:2600
12J. IGINLA17:30142:09100:0700
15N. DAWES15:02421:54100:0000
16D. BOYD12:08110:06002:2002
17R. BOURQUE16:04432:01003:1103
20C. GLENCROSS11:57230:19000:0000
21O. JOKINEN15:36241:31100:0700
22D. LANGKOW14:11351:45001:1700
23E. NYSTROM13:56140:00001:1601
24C. CONROY9:23140:00002:1602
25D. MOSS12:29220:21000:0000
28R. REGEHR19:06371:18003:2201
34M. KIPRUSOFF50:087123:22106:0004


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1343400000000
2451310200200
3373500000200
4000000000000
Totals101671210200400


Pretty low event game at ES last night. There were sequences where either team would keep the puck int he zone, but most of their shots would be from the outside or blocked close to the source. A couple of blown odd-man rushes on either side as well.

I was surprised to see McGrattan at 0 and 3...I don't remember him being on the ice at all.

Anyways, Flames scored on their chances and Kipper was good on a number of close in opportunities. That said, it's not good news that Calgary was out-chanced on home ice by an opponent lacking their top 2 centers for a majority of the contest. The team seems pretty good at getting in front of pucks and scrambling defensively, but they can only go against the odds for so long. Of particular issue in this game was escape from the defensive zone - lots of times, Flames would have the puck at or around the blueline only to be turned back again. The horrible Regehr shift near the end of the second comes to mind, especially because it really turned the tide at the time - not only did it lead to a couple of chances, but a penalty kill to boot. The Rags went on a 7-0 run after that and the count would probably a lot closer without that shift.
Read more!

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 13 versus Stars

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20207

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
DAL118:17 1311122428518212835915v5
CGY117:11 1561722 610143563914v5
CGY115:48 15616202436102335965v5
DAL115:33 156122125220233537965v5
DAL113:56 14610232459142829355v5
CGY110:32 13415172226262935 5v4
DAL19:02 146162025514283591965v5
DAL17:37 14202428 36101435634v5
DAL17:23 14202428 36101435634v5
DAL17:22 14202428 36101435634v5
DAL13:34 15715172223202135915v5
DAL11:35 161728 910143563913v5
DAL10:51 1351623 36182129354v5
CGY219:26 13412212523212335 5v4
DAL215:40 14611122439142935375v5
DAL215:12 1312162028610263537635v5
DAL213:42 146122324618213537915v5
DAL213:03 157111625620232835965v5
CGY212:52 1315172228510262835635v5
CGY211:10 15712212339141835375v5
DAL29:04 1615172228610263537635v5
DAL28:00 14202428 59212935914v5
DAL27:36 1571116 36101835634v5
DAL27:35PP shot1571116 36101835634v5
DAL26:54 14512212336101835635v5
CGY24:0812 goal1511122428618213537915v5
DAL23:12 146122123510262835635v5
DAL317:30 15716202559142829355v5
DAL316:34 15711122423202335965v5
DAL315:1118 goal134122123618213537915v5
CGY314:39 15616202559142829355v5
CGY313:36 131517222823202335965v5
DAL311:0821 goal146151722318213537915v5
CGY30:4922 goal341217222523232629355v5
CGY43:3712 goal1341221 3353763 4v3


#PlayerEVPPSH
1C. MCELHINNEY46:026166:05308:1617
3D. PHANEUF18:57334:56300:5101
4J. BOUWMEESTER18:21184:20305:5404
5M. GIORDANO15:33461:45002:1613
6C. SARICH13:24280:00001:1610
7A. PARDY7:03140:00000:3402
10B. MCGRATTAN2:04010:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM9:37140:00001:1002
12J. IGINLA18:16394:08200:0700
15N. DAWES10:56232:07100:0000
16D. BOYD11:31240:09002:0303
17R. BOURQUE14:44331:48102:1710
20C. GLENCROSS10:35230:09003:4104
21O. JOKINEN14:08143:49200:0700
22D. LANGKOW13:51332:07102:0810
23E. NYSTROM9:14150:00001:3501
24C. CONROY11:23250:02003:0804
25D. MOSS11:09243:40100:0000
28R. REGEHR19:15331:09005:5704


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
13101510001401
24103710000300
3343400000000
4100010000000
Totals112471630001701


This was a massacre. And the Flames somehow won. Not only were they completely outclassed in terms of shots and chances, the penalty that led to the PPG in OT was illegitimate.

Sometimes the better team doesn't win.
Read more!

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 5 versus Dallas

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20048

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
DAL118:5863 goal17815172223101431635v5
CGY116:33 138113338510142831635v5
CGY115:03 14516202456182131915v5
CGY115:02 14516202456182131915v5
CGY113:59 134122123617293137 5v4
CGY110:48 148112133613183137915v5
DAL19:31 148122123623293137965v5
CGY19:10 178151722610313763965v5
CGY16:35 138162024510142831635v5
CGY14:49 14817212323182131915v5
DAL13:52 17222428 510143163914v5
DAL13:35 1381220 36182129314v5
CGY10:59 147121722210142331375v5
DAL219:0620 goal17816333823172031635v5
CGY216:44 1311202428618213137915v5
CGY215:443 goal13412212323233191 5v4
DAL211:0123 goal17815172223232931965v5
CGY29:45 1311202428518212831915v5
DAL25:04 17812212323232931965v5
CGY24:30 131517222823142329315v5
DAL20:47 14512152123101431635v5
CGY319:38 145112024617202331375v5
DAL316:54 1471722 610313763964v5
CGY315:06 134121721618313791 5v4
CGY314:4417 goal151517222823233191 5v4
DAL310:3621 goal14512212323182131915v5
DAL38:58 1311202428518232831965v5
DAL36:42 14512152223182131915v5


#PlayerEVPPSH
1C. MCELHINNEY50:181295:20404:0003
3D. PHANEUF21:44514:08301:0801
4J. BOUWMEESTER21:14644:00301:2501
5M. GIORDANO20:11331:20100:3500
7A. PARDY9:26240:00002:5202
8S. KRONWALL8:01550:00000:3301
11F. SJOSTROM10:49510:00000:2300
12J. IGINLA16:05154:15300:1601
15N. DAWES15:13241:05100:0000
16D. BOYD10:26310:00000:4000
17R. BOURQUE14:55421:19201:1301
20C. GLENCROSS14:24610:00000:4001
21O. JOKINEN15:49244:05300:3300
22D. LANGKOW14:50332:05102:0702
23E. NYSTROM14:59133:11200:3300
24C. CONROY10:48610:00001:3501
28R. REGEHR21:29311:12101:2701
33B. PRUST6:31210:00000:0000
38J. JAFFRAY6:48110:00000:0000


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1948210000200
2443410000000
3341320000100
4000000000000
Totals161212940000300


This was the final recorded game I had to count, so expect me to be up-to-date from now on.

This was an interesting contest because it featured a trio Brent Sutter has apparently re-united in practice prior to the upcoming road trip: Iginla-Jokinen-Nystrom. As you can see, they pretty much got killed. On home ice, to boot. They faced the Richards line a bunch which, for my money, was the second unit for Dallas in the game behind Ribeiro's trio (they saw Langkow's unit). Nystrom wasn't always the "other winger", but we all know that it pretty much doesn't matter who "the other guy" is when Jokinen and Iginla get together - the line is going to suck.

They actually didn't look overly terrible until the third period when the Flames were trailing. Now, most folks in this corner of the web know about the "lead effect" where shots and chances by the leading team fall relative to the trailing team. Part of that is due to strategy and part of that is due to psychological effects. The other part is due to desperation: when trailing in the third, a coach will usually shorten his bench, double-shift difference makers and get more aggressive about favorable match-ups. That happened in this game, with Iginla and Jokinen seeing a lot of ice after the team went down by 2. The problem was, the pair of them didn't improve the Flames attack - they killed it. Jamie Benn was nabbed for a tripping penalty in the last five minutes and the PP was a disaster. Jarome gave the puck during two separate sequences and then caused an off-side for good measure. Shortly thereafter, Jokinen carried the puck into the corner and promptly passed it to an opposing player. The club didn't generate a single scoring chance as a result. In the final minute of the game, with the goalie pulled no less, Jokinen did something similar...except this time it was in the neutral zone. Dallas shot the puck in, recovered it and then scored on the empty net. It was a train-wreck of a period for the duo and almost a perfect microcosm of the way the pair have mostly played to start the season.
Read more!

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

Fantasy Drafts and Team Building

Awhile ago, I put up a post on offensive defensemen and how I thought it was inefficient to spend money on goals from the blueline when the dollars could be put towards forwards. The point that I struggled to communicate was forwards probably do more to drive results from straight up scoring to outshooting and possession. In contrast, many defensemen (and their results) are subject to circumstances: who they play against, who they play behind, where they start, etc. Which would mean that paying a whole bunch of money for points from the back-end is just you rewarding a coach for sheltering a defender or playing him 5 minutes a night on the PP as much as anything else.

Anyways, to further illustrate, I tried to put my theory to practice this summer in the CLS Fantasy draft, which was basically a re-drafting of the league across 30 different writers/bloggers. The draft order was random and the salary cap was in effect. Let's get to the team first and justifications after:

Ovechkin - M. Koivu - Elias
Huselius - Langkow - C. Armstrong
Dawes - Boyd - Moss
Prust - Backlund - Eaves

Matrin - Hamhuis
Hejda - Sarich
Gervais - Pardy

Biron
Schneider

I was gifted the first overall choice which was both a blessing and curse, especially in a draft like this which literally had days and days between choices.

Anyways, stuff I focused on:

- Spending money on top 6 forwards that were either proven outscorers (Ovechkin, Elias, Langkow, Koivu) or at least drivers of possession (Moss, Armstrong). PP ability was also considered (Huselius).

- Looking for guys that are good bets to outperform their contracts in the bottom half of the forward roster. Backlund probably doesn't fit in here, but he was one of the last picks and - at that point in the draft - I wasn't interested in scouring draft lists for a good fit.

- Finding value contracts on the back-end. Usually, I looked for guys who had proven they could play against the tough sledding in the past, at least as far as the top 4 were concerned. I also made sure to mix in some puck moving/skating ability and guys who have played on the PP (Martin, Hamhuis, Gervais).

- Like the bottom end of the roatation up front, I simply looked for good value guys who had a chance to improve for the 3rd pairing.

- To find decent, median level goaltending for cheap. I grabbed Schneider late in the draft because I figure he would have a decent shot at eventually usurping Biron. If not, the duo would only cost 2.48M anyways.

What I didn't worry about:

- Size

- "Truculence"

- Enforcers

- Stanley Cup rings

- Nation of birth

How the money was spent:

Forwards - $35.508M in cap space. A huge portion of that was invested in the top 6, obviously. Notice I have 8 forwards who have managed 20+ goals at least once in their careers (and a couple more that are good bets to eventually meet that mark).

Defense - 12.874. My most expensive defender was the criminally under-appreciated Paul Martin at 3.8333M, even though each one of my top four blueliners is or has been a top 2 defenseman in terms of quality of competition in his career.

Goaltending - 2.4842

Total - 50.87. Remaining cap space = 6.133M

The draft petered out before I could fill the final 2 or 3 spots with press-box guys, so the remaining cap space is marginally inflated. That said, I was somewhat surprised to see I could basically spend wildly up front and still end up with so much money left over. Guys like Elias and Huselius were available later in the draft because of their relatively unattractive contracts, so I was able to snag them thanks to my strategy of assigning money to the forwards before defense. Were this actually my team, I would probably seek toinvest most of those savings in another quality forward to better fill out that third line, although Dawes/Boyd/Moss would probably do well against third tier opposition anyways. One could probably swap Huselius and Elias in the top 6, depending on match-ups as well.

Unfortunately, there's no real way to prove that this line-up would would perform well in the real world, but it looks good on paper to me (aside from Backlund, who probably can't even hold water on a 4th line in the NHL yet). I think all three forward units are a good bet to move the puck in the right direction, while the admittedly unspectacular blueline would be at least competent at both ends of the ice.
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Monday, November 02, 2009

Flames Scoring Chances, game 4 versus Oilers

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20044

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
CGY118:04 78162024341327354367775v5
EDM113:58 315172228341932353777915v5
EDM110:54 4515172234513273544675v5
CGY110:26 7815172234513273544675v5
CGY14:48 3412212534513323544 5v4
EDM13:3318 goal715172228341819353767775v5
EDM12:42 71620242834518354671895v5
EDM11:24 5711233334519323544895v5
EDM10:1471 goal322242834 1927354471914v5
EDM214:47 7811233334513273567715v5
CGY29:53 341521223410354377 5v3
CGY29:35 341521223410354377 5v3
CGY29:36 341521223410354377 5v3
EDM28:11 511172328341019467183915v5
EDM27:52 422242834 510273571834v5
EDM23:54 78162024341327353743675v5
CGY20:2922 goal45151722341027354367775v5
CGY318:34 315172228341327356771775v5
CGY318:32 315172228341327356771775v5
CGY316:45 45122125341022357177835v5
CGY315:4915 goal7815172234513273537675v5
EDM314:48 316202428341932354371915v5
EDM314:25 78112333341835374677895v5
CGY311:07 31123283334518354346895v5
CGY310:38 45122125341022357177835v5
EDM36:3083 goal45151722341022353777835v5
EDM35:50 316202428341327353767715v5
CGY31:00 3412212325510223571835v5
CGY30:0217 goal34121721251018273543775v5
CGY44:37 45122134 510354383 4v4
EDM43:21 372234 1027353783 3v4
EDM43:13 472234 1935778991 3v4
EDM42:42 472234 1935778991 3v4
EDM42:03 312212834 1035437183 4v4


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF17:24543:58101:2902
4J. BOUWMEESTER20:57623:00104:4903
5M. GIORDANO18:51441:53000:0000
7A. PARDY16:10360:01002:0603
8S. KRONWALL12:56330:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM7:59140:00001:0300
12J. IGINLA17:21512:26100:0000
15N. DAWES14:11541:33000:0000
16D. BOYD12:50140:55000:3800
17R. BOURQUE15:15652:18000:2800
20C. GLENCROSS12:13140:01001:1800
21O. JOKINEN18:22512:35100:0500
22D. LANGKOW14:12542:18003:4105
23E. NYSTROM8:46240:00001:1800
24C. CONROY12:40140:01002:0502
25D. MOSS13:52402:35100:0000
28R. REGEHR18:27370:56004:1202
33B. PRUST6:41130:00000:0000
34M. KIPRUSOFF51:2310134:54106:1805


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1362510000100
2441300300100
3848400000000
4141100000300
Totals1618121310300500


Another early win Calgary didn't really deserve.

That said, it was one of Iginla's better games, although he and Jokinen were still doing the things that have plagued their play together since almost day 1 (not shooting in prime locations, forcing passes through coverage). Re-watching this game, I'd say Jarome has drifted farther away from effective play rather than the opposite.
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Sunday, November 01, 2009

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 12 versus Red Wings

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20190

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
CGY115:24 315172228341123293040555v5
CGY113:47 58112125341722233033435v5
DET19:50 315172228341123293040555v5
DET19:42 46112125341723303343555v5
DET17:44 816202328341122232930405v5
DET17:13 34151722341418243040555v5
DET16:11 58112125341722233033435v5
CGY15:34 58112125341722233033435v5
DET10:04 4615212534517283033435v5
CGY216:36 58162333341824283043555v5
CGY216:35 58162333341824283043555v5
DET215:58 5816233334814182224305v5
CGY211:31 5616232434513283044965v5
DET211:21 62123242834513283044965v5
CGY29:44 34122125341123304055 5v4
DET29:28 34122125341723304355 5v4
DET27:26 58162334 814182324304v5
CGY25:1722 goal315172228341122293040555v5
DET24:4323 goal56212325341723303343555v5
DET23:41 315172228341123282930405v5
CGY20:04 3412172234511282930405v5
CGY20:02 3412172234511282930405v5
CGY20:01 3412172234511282930405v5
CGY318:12 4615172234513223044965v5
CGY316:56 46232425341728303343555v5
DET312:40 4616172134511282930405v5


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF20:54531:32110:5700
4J. BOUWMEESTER20:58541:30113:3000
5M. GIORDANO14:24530:51001:4301
6C. SARICH17:02350:07002:4200
8S. KRONWALL10:18430:00001:0701
11F. SJOSTROM8:41220:00001:4500
12J. IGINLA16:55301:16110:0000
15N. DAWES14:09341:02000:0000
16D. BOYD11:58330:15002:4301
17R. BOURQUE16:22640:51001:0300
20C. GLENCROSS13:06010:00002:0000
21O. JOKINEN14:53261:16110:0000
22D. LANGKOW14:01630:51001:4700
23E. NYSTROM11:01440:20002:5001
24C. CONROY13:25210:00000:3600
25D. MOSS11:29341:00110:0000
28R. REGEHR19:08240:44002:4500
33B. PRUST6:26210:15000:0000
34M. KIPRUSOFF50:4812112:22116:2201


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1363600000000
2867411000100
3212100000000
4000000000000
Totals1313121111000100


I had to look at the results twice, because they don't really tell the tale of the game. Iginla was 3 and 0 at ES, but he was actually dreadful. All three chances came on a single shift to end the second period. He flat out terrible otherwise, killing plays all over the ice and being a liability in general. He continues to look like a mere shadow of the player he once was.

The chances count is in Calgary's favor because the Wings completely shut things down after they took the lead in the second period. They were happy to ice the puck and trap for the entirety of the third, allowing Calgary to close the gap: the differential actually favored DET 12-8 with 3 minutes left in the second period.

Of course, Jokinen was again below average in both zones as well and was the only Calgary skater well in the red by this metric. One wonders how long the decision makers will put with $12M+ of grossly under-performing forwards...
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Saturday, October 31, 2009

Flames Scoring Chance, Game 3 versus Montreal

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20030

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
CGY117:54 316202428342228324168845v5
MTL115:24 45162024341422414667685v5
MTL114:55 311232833341726284170755v5
CGY112:07 78162024341422414667685v5
CGY112:06 78162024341422414667685v5
CGY111:4323 goal7811233334617284144705v5
CGY110:33 4516202434621404144845v5
CGY110:06 4516202434632404144845v5
MTL18:41 4511162334613172841445v5
MTL18:27 3511162334613214144915v5
MTL18:07 31221252834613214144915v5
MTL11:1491 goal312212528341321264175915v5
MTL10:4184 goal316202428342232404168845v5
MTL10:02 4515172234613214144915v5
CGY219:09 316202428342232404168845v5
CGY219:03 316202428342232404168845v5
CGY218:48 316202428342232404168845v5
CGY215:31 78162024342226324041845v5
CGY210:11 7815253334621417075915v5
CGY27:14 57112333341722284168705v5
CGY26:5723 goal57112333341722284168705v5
CGY25:14 315172228341422414667685v5
CGY24:4912 goal34122125342632404175 5v4
MTL23:03 78162024341422324146685v5
MTL20:1114 goal31517222834614212232415v5
CGY317:56 78162024342232404168845v5
CGY317:448 goal78112333341417262841755v5
MTL316:52 4512212534613214144915v5
MTL316:51 4512212534613214144915v5
MTL316:33 4512212534613214144915v5
MTL316:00 315172228341422414667685v5
MTL315:15 78162024342632404175845v5
MTL39:23 315172228341422414667685v5
MTL37:50 4512212534613214144915v5


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF21:38580:21100:0000
4J. BOUWMEESTER24:01270:21100:0000
5M. GIORDANO22:53480:00000:0000
7A. PARDY16:29920:00000:0000
8S. KRONWALL13:30720:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM8:58430:00000:0000
12J. IGINLA16:09060:21100:0000
15N. DAWES19:46240:00000:0000
16D. BOYD15:431060:00000:0000
17R. BOURQUE20:10140:00000:0000
20C. GLENCROSS18:021040:00000:0000
21O. JOKINEN16:16060:21100:0000
22D. LANGKOW20:02140:00000:0000
23E. NYSTROM6:24430:00000:0000
24C. CONROY15:081040:00000:0000
25D. MOSS15:06160:21100:0000
28R. REGEHR20:47570:00000:0000
33B. PRUST7:13510:00000:0000
34M. KIPRUSOFF59:3916170:21100:0000


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1686800000000
2928210000000
3272700000000
4000000000000
Totals1717161710000000


This game provided perhaps the starkest contrast between the Flames money players and their support guys this year. Iginla and Jokinen were still paired at this point and still mostly seeing the tough match-ups. As you can see, they got absolutely obliterated by Cammalleri's line.

Conversely, The Conroy (Boyd, Glencross) line managed the biggest single game of ES chance generation yet. They each ended the game -1, but deserved better. The 4th line, of course, was also full value, beating the crap out of Laraques unit and scoring 3 goals in the process. It's too bad those two units have been subsequently broken up.

Here's Olivier's count. We differ quite widely when it comes to the Flames scoring chances, with him counting 23 for Calgary and me down at 17. The Flames had a number of shots from fuzzy areas (just outside the face-off dot, or just beyond the top of the face-off circle) which may or may not be considered a scoring opportunity depending on who you talk to. I tend to be pretty tough on those chances, but Olivier may not be.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 11 versus Avs

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20163

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
CGY119:47 4615172234822232627415v5
CGY119:0512 goal34122024341025374152545v5
CGY118:5021 goal31121252834910394041525v5
COL115:46 571121253459394041445v5
COL112:0728 goal5711212534518284144455v5
COL15:24 46102333341018284145525v5
COL13:2254 goal34112125341025374152545v5
CGY218:37 312202428342225273741545v5
CGY215:54 3412152234537394152 5v4
CGY215:45 51517222834518264152 5v4
CGY215:32 51517222834518264152 5v4
CGY24:24 4612172134822232627415v5
CGY20:44 3412202134822273941 5v4
COL315:19 361223333458222641455v5
COL314:48 361223333458222326415v5
COL314:308 goal3715172234823264144525v5
CGY311:46 3122024283459404144455v5
COL38:44 31220242834822273741545v5
CGY38:26 41221252834810264152545v5
CGY38:04 351221253459404144455v5
CGY36:28 512202128341822274154 5v4
CGY32:53 31122252834910182541525v5
CGY32:52 31122252834910182541525v5
CGY32:07 4512202134910182541525v5


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF21:43753:31200:0000
4J. BOUWMEESTER20:03523:33202:5600
5M. GIORDANO13:06222:46301:2600
6C. SARICH16:04230:08001:0400
7A. PARDY12:22030:00000:0000
10B. MCGRATTAN3:33010:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM9:36330:00000:4300
12J. IGINLA17:55733:30300:0000
15N. DAWES14:44112:50300:0000
17R. BOURQUE17:24212:43200:5200
20C. GLENCROSS12:15412:10201:4300
21O. JOKINEN16:44532:45200:1000
22D. LANGKOW15:13313:09301:3500
23E. NYSTROM10:03030:06001:3800
24C. CONROY12:59310:06001:1900
25D. MOSS14:22530:41000:0000
28R. REGEHR16:53612:02302:3400
33B. PRUST6:28030:00000:0000
34M. KIPRUSOFF48:331186:00504:0000


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1343400000000
2602040000000
3746410000000
4000000000000
Totals16811850000000


Pretty quiet game overall for both teams. The Flames had probably their worst period of the season in terms of generating chances in the first period: they managed all of 3 chances, 2 of which were their goals (which wouldn't have been scored as chances if they hadn't gone in). The other one came 15 seconds into the game.

That said, the second period was the first time this year the Flames held the opponents to zero scoring chances. A couple of PP's and the Avs sitting back led to the wide differential.

In the end, though, the Flames only outchanced the Avs 11-8 at ES, despite outshooting them by a wide margin. A lot of the shots were from the perimeter and it looked like the club played with sticks smeared with bacon fat - the chances count for Calgary would have doubled had they been able to bear down on the puck in the crease. A lot of fanning, passing pucks into skates and shooting pucks into blocks in the slot by Calgary this evening for whatever reason.

On Colorado's side, you have to give them credit for playing a quiet, steady, low event game. They spent a lot of time in their own end, but never made any significant mistakes and collapsed around their goaltender expertly, often smothering open skaters and rebounds as soon as they appeared. Also, Their 3 chances in the 3rd came during a single, sublime shift by the Wolksi line that culminated in the winning goal.

There was some talk about Jokinen and Iginla improving after this game, but I didn't really see it. Langkow et al were fed to the wolves while Iginla and Jokinen facced the likes of Durno, Svatos, Jones and Koci. Jokinen was scored on twice in the first, despite the easy match-up, due to extended shifts in the defensive zone. The pair of them managed to up the chance count at the end of the game when they were pressing for the tying goal and the Avs were sitting 5 in the neutral zone, but there was still a lot of lost puck battles at the sideboards and passes to no one in particular by the pair of them. Given the level of competition - depth players and rookies - I came away fairly unimpressed.
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Sunday, October 25, 2009

Flames Scoring Chances, Game 10 versus Oilers

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20143

TeamPeriodTimeNoteCGYOpponent
EDM117:49 616203444 1927357183894v5
EDM117:3571 goal616203444 1927357183894v5
CGY114:41 56112125341213223541495v5
EDM111:26 46121524341018193549715v5
CGY18:0717 goal56172234 1012353746774v5
CGY17:16 46122024342735434983895v5
EDM16:40 4611212534527357183895v5
EDM14:37 31220242834527357183895v5
CGY12:43 511212534441213193537495v5
CGY216:17 31517222834527354983895v5
CGY216:0715 goal31517222834527354983895v5
CGY215:3223 goal510162334441218353746775v5
CGY215:07 4612202434510192235715v5
CGY214:04 321232528342735414383895v5
EDM211:09 46121624341213183541435v5
CGY210:20 3412212534513183541 5v4
CGY29:3725 goal3412212534510273541 5v4
CGY27:45 31215172228527357183895v5
CGY27:44 31215172228527357183895v5
CGY26:40 515162228341318353777 5v4
CGY26:27 515162228341318353777 5v4
CGY26:19 34122125341027354143 5v4
EDM22:21 51121253444510122235715v5
EDM21:2627 goal420242834 1927357183894v5
EDM319:17 4242834 1927357183893v5
EDM318:11 34172234 1012353746774v5
EDM317:59 34172234 1012353746774v5
EDM317:31 2324283444 1927357183894v5
CGY317:10 34111634 1935467183894v5
EDM315:17 36122134 2735374189 4v4
CGY313:08 512162334441213193543495v5
EDM312:30 315172228342735377783895v5
EDM311:41 4611122134510181935715v5
EDM311:40 4611122134510181935715v5
CGY39:01 34122021341318354143 5v4
CGY37:3315 goal515172228341318354143 5v4
CGY36:20 46122024341018193537775v5


#PlayerEVPPSH
3D. PHANEUF17:40533:43402:2512
4J. BOUWMEESTER14:56353:43407:0213
5M. GIORDANO13:25411:06300:5810
6C. SARICH13:26460:00003:0112
10B. MCGRATTAN1:01100:00000:0000
11F. SJOSTROM9:30240:00000:4410
12J. IGINLA16:30663:35400:0000
15N. DAWES11:59421:14300:0000
16D. BOYD12:09210:28202:0212
17R. BOURQUE11:55410:46105:1612
20C. GLENCROSS9:23311:10101:3703
21O. JOKINEN11:30353:35400:1200
22D. LANGKOW12:01411:14305:0412
23E. NYSTROM11:11300:00002:1701
24C. CONROY10:26330:00003:1002
25D. MOSS12:04322:25300:0500
28R. REGEHR16:21521:06305:1902
34M. KIPRUSOFF43:381094:497010:2126
44A. JOHNSON12:46310:00001:5703


PeriodTotalsEVPP5v3 PPSH5v3 SH
1453300001200
21237250000100
3582420001301
4000000000000
Totals211612970002601


The second period was probably the most dominant of the season thus far for the Flames. They generated a ton and gave up almost nothing.

Also, Olli Jokinen was on the ice for 3 ES scoring chances for in this game, but he had next to nothing to do with any of them - he just happened to be the guy skating around when his linemates were doing something. His only true contributions to creating opportunities came on the PP.

Dennis' count here. Looks like he gave each team one more chance than I did, but it looks like we're in the same ballpark.
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